AI Demand Expected to Drive TSMC’s Q4 Profit to Soar by 27%

Bank of America chief strategist Hartnett has identified the US election as a historic turning point marking the peak concentration of “AI stocks”: the market cap of the top ten AI giants has reached a high of 41%, equal to that of the internet bubble era. Wall Street's four major bull market beliefs—“the Fed not raising rates, Democrats not sweeping, no reduction in AI capital expenditure, and no economic recession”—are falling one by one. Looking ahead, gold is expected to outperform oil, tech bonds to outperform tech stocks, and there is optimism for technology stocks in Europe and China.

Morgan Stanley stated that the AI pullback is driven by valuation contraction, while profit expectations continue to rise. It advises against indiscriminate bottom-fishing upstream sectors, recommending selective allocation to application players, with priority given to those in the US and Europe with safety cushions.