Bitcoin ETFs Are Hot, But Prices Are Not: Here’s Why

In October, US non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000, which is 2.5 times the Wall Street median forecast of 65,000 and represents an exceptionally strong deviation of about 5 standard deviations, exceeding the upper limit of all institutional forecast ranges. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%, while the market had expected it to remain unchanged; average hourly wages also accelerated year-on-year growth to 3.1%. Meanwhile, the previous two months' non-farm payrolls were revised upwards by a total of 84,000. Following the release of the data, the yield on 2-year US Treasury bonds rose by 7 basis points, and the pricing of the probability of a Fed rate hike in December climbed to 70%.

The valuation range discussed by potential investors has been lowered from the previous high of $2 trillion to between $1.2 trillion and $1.3 trillion, and some strategists have even suggested going below $1 trillion to ensure safety. In the face of significant market volatility and financial concerns such as quarterly losses, Anthropic is facing tough decisions, including a discounted valuation, reducing the size of the offering, or postponing the listing.

Moderna's Q3 revenue increased by 29% year-on-year to $1.31 billion, with profits significantly exceeding expectations. The company raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to 15%-25%. The ramp-up of next-generation COVID-19 and flu vaccines, along with international market expansion, has driven performance improvement. Phase III data for the personalized cancer vaccine has also shown positive progress. The company is simultaneously advancing cost reduction and pipeline R&D, with year-end cash expectations significantly raised.