coinedition.com
16 m
Avalanche price prediction for November stays bearish below $9.03, the level $AVAX needs to reclaim after bouncing from its November low.
Avalanche Price Analysis (Source: TradingView)
$AVAX’s recovery faces a hurdle between $8.72 and $9.03, where all four major daily moving averages cluster. The token trades down 0.5% today, after sellers rejected its November 9 push toward $9.
The 20-day and 100-day EMAs offer initial resistance at $8.72 and $8.78. Above them, the 50-day and 200-day EMAs sit near $9.02 and $9.03. A daily close above this band would strengthen the case for a trend reversal.
$AVAX is also testing the upper boundary of a falling channel near $8.60. The channel formed after September’s peak near $12, with the subsequent decline taking prices roughly 35% lower to $7.80. Buyers have since recovered about 10%, but the latest rejection shows they still face selling pressure near $9.
Momentum has improved. The RSI has risen to 45.68 from roughly 29 in late October, suggesting selling pressure has eased. However, it remains below 50, leaving buyers without a clear advantage.
Related: OKZOO (AIOT) Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030
The recovery remains vulnerable below $9.03. Failure to clear the resistance band could bring $7.80 back into focus. A daily close below that low would open the door to a deeper decline toward $7.
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $8.72 | 20-day EMA, beside today’s high |
| Resistance | $8.78 | 100-day EMA |
| Resistance | $9.03 | 50-day and 200-day EMAs, rejected November 9 |
| Support | $8.52 | Today’s low |
| Support | $7.80 | November low |
| Support | $7.00 | Round level, near the channel’s lower line |
Ava Labs reported on November 9 that Avalanche will provide the core ledger technology to the clearing firm of a tokenized securities platform an NYSE affiliate is building, according to its press release. The platform is an alternative trading system, a regulated venue for trading securities, and it is designed for 24/7 trading, clearing and settlement, subject to regulatory approvals.
The release gives no launch date and does not mention $AVAX or a role for the token, so it supports the adoption story more than it measures demand. $AVAX gained about 10% on November 9, but price still sits under the $9.03 band.
Avalanche has processed more than 1.6 billion transactions on its C-Chain since mainnet launched in September 2020, yet $AVAX was still testing $8 support when the milestone came out.
A cumulative count doesn’t show how many unique users made those transactions or how much demand there is for $AVAX. A figure from several months ago put the C-Chain at 2.3 million to 2.7 million transactions a day, about 10 times the level of mid-2025. Usage has grown while the price has fallen, so the $9.03 band matters more for November than the transaction count does.
$AVAX closes above the channel’s upper line near $8.60 and today’s high at $8.73, then clears the 100-day EMA at $8.78 and reaches $9.03, about 5% above today’s price. A close above it would open the $10.00 round level, about 16% higher. Progress on the NYSE-affiliated platform and a steadier crypto market would fit this path.
Related: Janction (JCT) Price Prediction & Forecast 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030
$AVAX is rejected at the channel line, closes below today’s low at $8.52 and then the $7.80 November low, which would put the $7.00 round level in play, about 18% below today’s price. A close below $7.00 would expose the June low near $5.70. A fading NYSE headline and weakness across the crypto market would fit this path.
$AVAX stays bearish below $9.03 and could move toward that level if it closes above the channel’s upper line near $8.60 and clears $8.72 to $8.78. A daily close below $7.80 would put the $7.00 level in play.
Ava Labs says Avalanche will provide the core ledger technology to the clearing firm of an NYSE-affiliated tokenized securities platform, according to its November 9 press release. The platform is still upcoming and subject to regulatory approvals.
$AVAX has slid inside a falling channel since a late-September high near $12.00 and trades below all four daily EMAs. None of the data in this analysis ties the drop to a single cause, and Tron Weekly noted that network usage and price have not moved together.
The November low near $7.80 is the key support, with today’s low at $8.52 above it. A close below $7.80 would put the $7.00 round level in play.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
US CPI Exceeds Expectations Again, Waller's Warning Comes True! Wall Street Focuses on Whether December Rate Hike Will Be 25 or 50 Basis Points; "New Fed News Agency": Stop-and-Go Strategy Faces Test
The "New Federal Reserve Newsletter" pointed out that before the release of the CPI, Waller suggested the possibility of a 50-basis-point rate hike in December, and so far, no other Fed officials have publicly responded. In addition to a single 50-basis-point hike, the Fed may also choose to signal consecutive rate hikes in December and January. Wall Street generally believes that inflationary pressures remain stubborn, further strengthening the case for a rate hike in December, though a 50-basis-point increase is not a consensus. The market is concerned about whether the Fed will extend the tightening cycle.
CPI Deals a Blow to US Bonds! 2-Year Yield Surges Over 20 Basis Points Intraday, Gold and Silver Plunge
After the release of the CPI, traders began to expect a lower likelihood of a 50 basis point rate hike in December; this year’s Federal Reserve voting member Logan stated that a faster pace of rate hikes may be needed this winter, with at least two more 25 basis point hikes required before pausing. Subsequently, the rise in U.S. Treasury yields continued to widen, with the 10-year yield climbing back above 5.0% and rising more than 10 basis points intraday; spot gold once fell over 3%, while spot silver at one point dropped more than 4%.
Historical Data Reveals When XRP Could Peak This Cycle
GUCCI’s parent company targets the traditional gold business
