Judo Capital Expects November RBA Rate Hike as Inflation Pressures Persist
Bitget2026/10/25 23:21- The RBA is expected to raise rates on November 3, 2026, if September-quarter inflation meets forecasts.
- Quarterly trimmed mean inflation is forecast at 1%, above the RBA’s 0.8% projection; data are due October 28.
- Market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point November hike rose to roughly 67% from 22%; the cash rate is priced to peak at 4.87% by May 2027.
- Brent closed Friday at US$116.72 a barrel, roughly 45% above the RBA’s year-end assumption, increasing inflation risks.
- Sydney home prices are approaching a 10% decline from February’s peak, with preliminary auction clearance below 50%.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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