September US Median Inflation Expectations Increase for Both Short Term and Medium Term, According to NY Fed Survey
MT newswire2026/10/07 15:1911:19 AM EDT, 10/07/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Consumer expectations for one-year US inflation growth rose to a 3.9% gain in September from a 3.6% gain in the previous month, according to a survey released by the New York Federal Reserve Bank on Wednesday. The median inflation expectations rose to a 3.3% gain from a 3.2% gain for the three-year period but remained at a 3.0% gain for five years ahead for the thirteenth straight month. The median inflation uncertainty increased to 3.1% from 2.9% in the one-year horizon and increased to 2.8% from 2.7% for the three-year outlook. Median home price change expectations remained at 3.0% while home price uncertainty rose to a 3.6% increase from a 3.4% increase in the previous month. The median one-year expectations commodity prices growth rose for all commodities, namely gas, food, medical care, college education, rent and gold. Earnings growth expectations fell, while earning growth uncertainty increased. Expectations for losing a job decreased but expectations of finding one increased.
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