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Citigroup lowers its euro target; hawkish Federal Reserve and tensions with Iran create pressure

Citigroup lowers its euro target; hawkish Federal Reserve and tensions with Iran create pressure

智通财经智通财经2026/10/05 16:36
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Citigroup foreign exchange strategists expect the euro to weaken against the U.S. dollar, citing the Federal Reserve’s more hawkish stance and renewed tensions between the United States and Iran. “With the tailwinds from artificial intelligence (AI), attractive real interest rates, and rising euro-related risk premiums, U.S. capital flows continue to support the dollar,” said Daniel Tobon and Brian Levine of Citigroup in a report. The Citigroup strategists have lowered their three-month euro/dollar forecast to 1.135 and cut their 6- to 12-month projection to 1.13.

Citigroup foreign exchange strategists expect the euro to weaken against the US dollar, citing a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve and renewed tensions between the United States and Iran. "Amid AI-driven optimism, attractive real interest rates, and rising euro-related risk premiums, US capital flows continue to support the dollar," Citigroup's Daniel Tobon and Brian Levine said in a report. Citigroup strategists have lowered their 3-month forecast for EUR/USD to 1.135, and their 6- to 12-month forecast to 1.13.
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