CME Federal Reserve Watch: 77.9% Probability of No Rate Change in October

智通财经2026/10/04 22:46

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According to CME "FedWatch": there is a 77.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October, and a 22.1% probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points. By December, there is an 11.4% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged, a 62.3% probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points, a 24.3% probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points, and a 2.1% probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points.

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