Momentum says UK 20-year real gilt yield holds near two-decade high around 2.4%
Bitget2026/09/28 08:59- Momentum Global Investment Management flagged a sustained jump in the UK 20-Year Real Gilt Yield to roughly +2.4% from about -2.5%.
- Long-dated real yields stayed near post-2022 highs despite shifting Bank of England rate expectations, pointing to reduced odds of 2010s-style ultra-low rates.
- Persistent elevation partly reflects higher term premia tied to gilt supply-demand dynamics, alongside expectations for future real rates.
- Higher real yields improve prospective bond returns, tighten equity valuation support via higher discount rates, with growth stocks most exposed.
- Pension schemes could see lower present values for long-dated liabilities, though outcomes depend on asset-liability structure.
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