Update: US Equity Indexes Mixed as Benchmark Treasury Yield Jumps Back Above 5%

04:37 PM EDT, 09/18/2026 (MT Newswires) -- (Updates with index/price moves, macroeconomic data, and geopolitical news from the first paragraph.) US equity indexes closed mixed on Friday as government bond yields rebounded, with the 10-year yield hovering near its highest level in almost two decades. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.4% to 26,522.55, the S&P 500 climbed 0.2% to 7,650.50, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 0.2% to 51,682.64. Materials, utilities and real estate led decliners at the close. Technology led the gainers. "We now expect two more hikes from the [Federal Reserve], and our commodity analysts see energy markets facing a convergence of supply chain disruptions," Morgan Stanley said in a note after a 25 basis-point increase announced on Wednesday, the first policy tightening since 2023. "A higher expected path for oil prices means disinflation will be slower, and more restrictive policy also weighs on growth in 2027." Morgan Stanley expects two 25 basis-point rate increases in December and March to a target range of 4.25 to 4.50%. "They hold there through the end of next year." US Treasury yields rose after midday. The 10-year yield jumped 5.3 basis points to 5%, trading near its strongest level since 2007. The two-year yield climbed 6.2 basis points to 4.75%, a multi-month high. US equity funds recorded outflows for a fourth consecutive week as rising crude oil prices heightened inflation concerns and expectations of a Fed rate increase added to investor caution ahead of its policy decision, Reuters reported. The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations said an unknown projectile hit a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, Al Jazeera, a Middle Eastern broadcaster, reported. Earlier, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it struck a Togo-flagged tanker as it attempted an "illegal passage" through the strait. The front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract slumped 2.5% to $99.39 per barrel, while the global benchmark North Sea Brent slipped 1.7% to $103.06 per barrel. In economic news, US industrial production unexpectedly held steady in August as manufacturing output fell after rising for seven straight months, Federal Reserve data showed. Industrial output was nearly flat sequentially last month, following a 0.2% gain in July, according to the Fed. The consensus was 0.3% for August in a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The Conference Board's measure of leading indicators slipped 0.1% in August, compared with expectations for a 0.1% gain in a Bloomberg-compiled poll and a 0.2% advance in July. The reading is the first monthly decline since March. In company news, Nucor (NUE) shares slumped 6%, one of the S&P 500's worst performers, after the company said late Thursday it expects Q3 earnings of $5.55 to $5.65 per diluted share, below analysts' consensus.