How Long Could the Benchmark Treasury Yield Stay Above 5%? -- WSJ

By Shradha Dinesh

The 10-year Treasury yield has popped up above 5% in each of the past two days. Many investors are probably wondering if it can stay above that level, and if so, for how long.

If recent history is any guide, the answer is: not that long. The past eight times the Treasury yield closed above 5%, it went back down below that level in less than two months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The average number of trading days it stayed above 5% was 12. All those stretches occurred in 2006 and 2007.

Longer periods of 10-year yields staying above 5% happened in 2002, 2001 and 1999-2000. Before September 1998, the 10-year yield was above 5% for more than two decades.

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September 16, 2026 12:00 ET (16:00 GMT)