US retail investors question August non-farm payroll data, focusing on the previous value's downward revision by 55,000
智通财经2026/09/04 12:56Show original
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US retail traders’ views on August Non-Farm Payrolls:- Several traders expressed confusion and skepticism about the data and market reaction, with some commenting that it is “absurd” for algorithms to automatically sell off due to stronger employment data, and believing that a 25 basis point rate hike would have little real impact, with zero likelihood of restarting the rate hike cycle.- Some traders noticed that the estimated increase in employment this time is 55,000, while the previous figure was also revised down by 55,000, and considered this coincidence surprising.- Some traders expect the market to weaken during the day, while others think the data means the conditions for a rate hike are met and that interest rates should be raised.- Certain traders assert that subsequent data will be revised down and accuse the current data of being “completely unreliable.”- Other traders mentioned that Bloomberg’s previous forecast was accurate, and that gold prices may receive buying support from this data.
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