Arbitrum Jumps 26% While Bitcoin and Ethereum Fall — Robinhood Is the Reason

Arbitrum price gained 26% over 24 hours, trading near $0.1101 on Tuesday. Bitcoin (BTC) and ether slipped over the same stretch, leaving the layer 2 token to rally against a falling market. The move followed record activity on Robinhood Chain, a network built with Arbitrum Orbit technology that sends part of its revenue back to the Arbitrum ecosystem. Robinhood Chain Revenue Explains the Arbitrum Price Move Robinhood Chain booked $2.13 million in chain fees over 24 hours, according to DefiLlama. Chain revenue reached $1.92 million, while decentralized exchange (DEX) volume hit $1.462 billion. Arbitrum One collected roughly $16,000 in chain fees over the same window. The Robinhood network now out-earns the chain it forked from. Under the Arbitrum Expansion Program, Orbit chains route 8% of net revenue to the ArbitrumDAO treasury and 2% to a developer guild. Therefore, ARB holders hold a claim on fees earned outside Arbitrum One. Arbitrum Price Analysis Shows Resistance at $0.1193 ARB broke out of a six-week range between $0.075 and $0.100 on the daily chart. However, the rally stalled at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $0.1193. Price wicked to $0.1202 before sellers stepped in. ARB now sits at the 0.5 Fibonacci level near $0.1100, which capped the token twice earlier this year. ARB daily chart / Source: Tradingview The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads near 70 and is trending higher. That level also marks where momentum in most altcoins tends to cool. ARB Price Prediction Hinges on a September Deadline The four-hour chart places ARB inside an ascending channel. Its midline sits near $0.1007, matching the 0.382 Fibonacci support. A close below $0.1045 would weaken the breakout. Beneath that, $0.0891 marks the next demand zone. Meanwhile, two dates complicate the bull case. Robinhoods 90-day gas subsidy expires near the end of September, and roughly 92.6 million ARB unlock on September 16. ARB 4-hourly chart / Source: Tradingview Derivatives positioning has also turned crowded. Open interest climbed 62%, and funding flipped positive, which leaves late longs exposed if $0.1100 gives way. ARB needs $0.1100 to hold as support. Beyond that, the rally needs Robinhood Chain volume to survive without a subsidy paying for it.