Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Adviser at Allianz, stated that today's movements in the US Treasury yield curve send two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by about 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by about 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed-income market: in the short term, it is a hawkish repricing by the market after Federal Reserve Chair

Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Adviser at Allianz, stated that today's movements in the US Treasury yield curve send two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by about 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by about 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed-income market: in the short term, it is a hawkish repricing by the market after Federal Reserve Chair

智通财经2026/08/28 22:02

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Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian stated that today’s changes in the US Treasury yield curve have released two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by about 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by about 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes that this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed income market: in the short term, it is the market’s hawkish repricing following Federal Reserve Chairman Waller’s firm commitment to the inflation target; in the long term, it shows recognition of the Federal Reserve’s credibility over time.

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On Tuesday, following Federal Reserve Governor Waller’s call to consider a 50 basis point rate hike at the December meeting, this year’s FOMC rotating voting member Lorie Logan reiterated a hawkish stance, stating, "Given the current economic outlook, I believe at least two more rate hikes of 25 basis points each are needed. The pace of rate hikes this winter may be faster than what we have seen so far this autumn." On Tuesday, the two-year US Treasury yield jumped 19 basis points in a single day, reaching 4.74%.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/10 19:52