Eurozone PMI output price inflation cools down; institutions believe this weakens the case for a September rate hike, but the market still bets on a hike.

智通财经2026/08/21 11:36

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Berenberg Bank analysts pointed out that the eurozone PMI output price inflation has declined, service sector sales price inflation has dropped to its lowest point since March, and goods-side price inflation has also continued to ease. This data is favorable for European Central Bank policy makers.
Institutional opinions believe that downward price pressures further reduce the necessity for the European Central Bank to raise rates again in September.
Detailed data shows that the slowdown in output price inflation this round mainly comes from Germany.
However, financial market pricing indicates that investors are betting on about a 95% probability of a European Central Bank rate hike in September, reflecting a divergence between institutional assessments and market trading expectations.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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Eurozone PMI output price inflation cools down; institutions believe this weakens the case for a September rate hike, but the market still bets on a hike.

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