Polymarket: The probability that "the next Claude Opus model will be released by July 23, 2026" is currently reported at 61%, up 51% in the past 24 hours.

Odaily星球日报2026/07/23 10:49

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According to monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket currently shows a 61% probability that "the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026," up 51% in the past 24 hours. In addition, the probability for "release by July 24" is currently at 9%; and for "release by July 25," it's at 5%.

This event will be settled based on the date (Eastern Time, US) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the public. Only models that are officially named "Opus" by Anthropic and are open to the public (including public testing or open waitlists) are valid. Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not included, and final settlement will be based primarily on Anthropic's official information.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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OPEC's monthly report shows that Saudi Arabia's average daily crude oil production in October rose to 10.56 million barrels, just several hundred thousand barrels lower than the pre-war level in February and slightly above its quoted limit under the OPEC framework. Iraq's daily output in October also reached approximately 4.9 million barrels, a new high since the outbreak of war. Meanwhile, after the UAE exited OPEC and began competing in the market independently, both the UAE and Saudi Arabia recently slashed their official December cargo prices for Asian buyers, intensifying the competitive landscape.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 17:31