Kalshi traders believe there is a very low probability that the US government will invest in OpenAI this year.

However, Kalshi traders believe that the probability of the US government investing in OpenAI or Anthropic this year is less than 30%. Kalshi traders think the likelihood of the US government investing in quantum computing companies Rigetti Computing or D-Wave Quantum, as well as semiconductor manufacturer GlobalFoundries, is much higher, exceeding 60%. According to sources familiar with the matter, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman had already disclosed the idea of government shareholding to the Trump administration as early as 2025. (CNBC)