EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Bearish bias persists below 0.8600
EUR/GBP trades with a positive bias on Tuesday as sellers take a breather following the recent selloff that pushed the cross to a more than one-year low. At the time of writing, EUR/GBP is trading around 0.8550 after rebounding from an intraday low of 0.8533, its lowest level since June 2025.
Selling pressure intensified after EUR/GBP recently broke the key 0.8600 level, a multi-month support zone. Despite the intraday rebound, technical indicators continue to favor sellers, suggesting the near-term bias remains bearish.
The economic calendar is relatively light across Europe, leaving traders focused on comments from European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) officials for fresh policy clues.
ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Tuesday that the "outlook remains fragile," adding that "upside inflation and downside growth risks remain."
Attention now turns to BoE policymaker Catherine Mann, who is scheduled to speak later on Tuesday.
Technical Analysis:
On the daily chart, EUR/GBP keeps a bearish near-term tone as it holds below both the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) at 0.8664 and 0.8696, respectively.
The pair has recently bounced from oversold territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovering toward the 30 zone, while the low Average Directional Index (ADX) around 18 hints at a weak but persistent downtrend rather than an impulsive sell-off.
On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the horizontal barrier near 0.8600, ahead of the 100-day SMA at 0.8664 and the 200-day SMA at 0.8696, which together form a broader cap on recovery attempts.
On the downside, the next meaningful support sits at 0.8500, where a break would likely extend the bearish sequence toward fresh lows despite the tentative improvement in momentum.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like

Wall Street giants collectively raise rate hike forecasts, US Treasury futures continue to fall, gold drops over 1% to break 4000
After the US October CPI exceeded expectations, Goldman Sachs and Nomura added a forecast for an interest rate hike in March next year, while Deutsche Bank included a forecast for a rate hike in January next year. Currently, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December, with a 13% probability for a 50 basis point hike. On Wednesday, the US Treasury spot market was closed, but Treasury futures continued to fall, with corresponding yields rising by about 2 to 4 basis points, and spot gold came under pressure, dropping by 1.1%.

No Need to Worry About the Cooling Down of AI Data Center Construction? The US Import Boom Is Unlikely to Subside in the Short Term, Real Impact May Come in 2029
It takes an average of 4.8 years from finalizing investment to starting construction of a data center project, and an additional 2.6 years from construction start to becoming operational. Servers usually cannot be installed until after the building structure and racks are completed. For trade partners such as Taiwan (China), South Korea, and Mexico who rely on US data center supply chain demand, the inertia in construction timelines provides at least a one- to two-year buffer for future exports.

Federal Reserve Major Debate: When Should the Tenure of “Number Three” Williams End?
The main point of contention is whether Williams should step down in June 2028, upon completing a full 10-year term, or in June 2027, when he reaches the mandatory retirement age of 65. Analysts point out that the Federal Reserve Board holds ultimate discretion; if he leaves early, Fed Chair Waller would be able to assert greater control over the appointment to this critical position. However, forcing Williams to shorten his term could easily be interpreted as political manipulation. Williams himself is expected to serve until June 2028.

