Ethereum Price Prediction: Can ETH Break Its Downtrend and Target $2.2K?
Ethereum has extended its recovery over the past several sessions, breaking above its recent consolidation range and approaching a major confluence resistance area. The rally has improved short-term sentiment, but the market is now testing a zone that could determine whether this move develops into a broader trend reversal or remains a relief rally within the prevailing downtrend.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
Ethereum continues to recover from the $1.46K-$1.53K demand zone, where buyers once again stepped in after defending the June lows. The rebound has now carried price toward the descending trendline that has capped every major rally since the May peak.
The recent advance has also reclaimed the $1.70K area, placing ETH just below the next key resistance cluster around $1.82K-$1.86K. This region is particularly important because it aligns with the long-term descending trendline, creating a significant technical confluence.
Momentum has improved considerably. The previously discussed bullish RSI divergence has continued to play out, with the indicator making higher highs while price has recovered sharply from support. This suggests bearish momentum has weakened substantially compared to previous sell-offs.
Nevertheless, the broader trend cannot be considered bullish until Ethereum breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the higher resistance band. A rejection from this area would preserve the sequence of lower highs that has defined the market for the past several months.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart shows that Ethereum has successfully broken above its short-term consolidation and reached the first resistance zone around $1.70K-$1.74K. Buyers have maintained strong momentum following the breakout from the lower range, allowing the price to approach the upper boundary of the descending structure.
Price is now trading just beneath the falling trendline that has repeatedly rejected previous recovery attempts. A decisive breakout above this trendline would represent the first meaningful structural improvement since the broader decline began and could open the door for a move toward the $1.82K-$1.86K resistance area.
As long as Ethereum remains above the recently reclaimed $1.70K region, buyers retain short-term control. However, failure to overcome the descending trendline could trigger another rejection, sending price back toward lower support levels and extending the broader corrective structure.
Sentiment Analysis
The one-month liquidation heatmap highlights a significant concentration of leveraged positions above the current market price, particularly within the $2K-$2.2K region.
These overhead liquidity clusters could act as a magnet for price in the coming sessions. If Ethereum successfully clears the descending trendline and continues its recovery, the market may accelerate toward this area as short liquidations fuel additional upside momentum.
However, the reaction after such a liquidity sweep may prove even more important than the rally itself. Once the $2K-$2.2K liquidity has been absorbed, the market will likely reveal whether buyers have accumulated enough strength to establish a sustainable bullish trend or whether the move was primarily a liquidity-driven squeeze.
If bullish momentum remains strong after clearing the overhead liquidity, Ethereum could enter a broader recovery phase. Conversely, failure to hold above that region would increase the probability of another significant decline, with price potentially rotating lower to target the sizeable liquidity clusters that remain beneath the current market. Such a sequence would fit the market’s tendency to move between major pools of leveraged liquidity before establishing its next directional trend.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Wall Street giants collectively raise rate hike forecasts, US Treasury futures continue to fall, gold drops over 1% to break 4000
After the US October CPI exceeded expectations, Goldman Sachs and Nomura added a forecast for an interest rate hike in March next year, while Deutsche Bank included a forecast for a rate hike in January next year. Currently, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December, with a 13% probability for a 50 basis point hike. On Wednesday, the US Treasury spot market was closed, but Treasury futures continued to fall, with corresponding yields rising by about 2 to 4 basis points, and spot gold came under pressure, dropping by 1.1%.
No Need to Worry About the Cooling Down of AI Data Center Construction? The US Import Boom Is Unlikely to Subside in the Short Term, Real Impact May Come in 2029
It takes an average of 4.8 years from finalizing investment to starting construction of a data center project, and an additional 2.6 years from construction start to becoming operational. Servers usually cannot be installed until after the building structure and racks are completed. For trade partners such as Taiwan (China), South Korea, and Mexico who rely on US data center supply chain demand, the inertia in construction timelines provides at least a one- to two-year buffer for future exports.
Federal Reserve Major Debate: When Should the Tenure of “Number Three” Williams End?
The main point of contention is whether Williams should step down in June 2028, upon completing a full 10-year term, or in June 2027, when he reaches the mandatory retirement age of 65. Analysts point out that the Federal Reserve Board holds ultimate discretion; if he leaves early, Fed Chair Waller would be able to assert greater control over the appointment to this critical position. However, forcing Williams to shorten his term could easily be interpreted as political manipulation. Williams himself is expected to serve until June 2028.
Crypto prices
More
