China’s RatingDog Services PMI eases in June: What 54.1 means for Australian Dollar
China's Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declined to 54.1 in June from 54.4 in May, the latest data published by RatingDog showed on Friday.
This figure still marked the third-steepest increase in services activity in nearly three years. Services exports grew for a second consecutive month, expanding at the fastest rate since October 2024.
The Chinese proxy, the Australian Dollar (AUD), remains strong following the weaker Chinese data, with AUD/USD gaining 0.08% on the day to 0.6930, as of writing.
What do China’s RatingDog Services PMI data mean for the Australian Dollar?
China’s Services PMI is a leading indicator gauging business activity in China’s services sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at both private-sector and state-owned companies. This reading is closely watched by traders, as China is Australia's largest trading partner.
While the report does not directly determine the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decisions, but they can affect the Australian economy through trade and commodity channels.
Stronger-than-expected PMI readings signals stronger business activity and economic growth in China, which could lift the China-proxy Aussie as risk sentiment improves. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected readings could indicate slowing economic activity and weigh on the AUD.
Technical Analysis: AUD/USD keeps the bearish vibe under 100-day MA
In the daily chart, AUD/USD keeps a bearish near-term tone as spot holds below the Bollinger middle band (20-day simple moving average) and the 100-day moving average. The pair is consolidating after its recent pullback from the highs, with the Relative Strength Index (14) hovering near 39, hinting at lingering downside pressure rather than an immediate oversold bounce.
On the topside, initial resistance is now aligned with the 20-day simple moving average near 0.6975, followed by the 100-day moving average around 0.7073 and the Bollinger upper band close to 0.7105. On the downside, the Bollinger lower band near 0.6847 forms the next notable support, and a break below this floor would open the door to a deeper extension of the current corrective phase.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like

Wall Street giants collectively raise rate hike forecasts, US Treasury futures continue to fall, gold drops over 1% to break 4000
After the US October CPI exceeded expectations, Goldman Sachs and Nomura added a forecast for an interest rate hike in March next year, while Deutsche Bank included a forecast for a rate hike in January next year. Currently, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December, with a 13% probability for a 50 basis point hike. On Wednesday, the US Treasury spot market was closed, but Treasury futures continued to fall, with corresponding yields rising by about 2 to 4 basis points, and spot gold came under pressure, dropping by 1.1%.

No Need to Worry About the Cooling Down of AI Data Center Construction? The US Import Boom Is Unlikely to Subside in the Short Term, Real Impact May Come in 2029
It takes an average of 4.8 years from finalizing investment to starting construction of a data center project, and an additional 2.6 years from construction start to becoming operational. Servers usually cannot be installed until after the building structure and racks are completed. For trade partners such as Taiwan (China), South Korea, and Mexico who rely on US data center supply chain demand, the inertia in construction timelines provides at least a one- to two-year buffer for future exports.

Federal Reserve Major Debate: When Should the Tenure of “Number Three” Williams End?
The main point of contention is whether Williams should step down in June 2028, upon completing a full 10-year term, or in June 2027, when he reaches the mandatory retirement age of 65. Analysts point out that the Federal Reserve Board holds ultimate discretion; if he leaves early, Fed Chair Waller would be able to assert greater control over the appointment to this critical position. However, forcing Williams to shorten his term could easily be interpreted as political manipulation. Williams himself is expected to serve until June 2028.

