Trump nears Iran deal but crypto market ignores the news
The crypto market has remained under pressure even as reports have indicated that a U.S.-Iran agreement is moving closer to completion, with the total crypto market capitalization falling nearly 2% to $2.21 trillion.
- Trump said a U.S.-Iran agreement could be signed soon, but crypto prices remained under pressure.
- Bitcoin and major altcoins fell as investors focused on Fed policy and inflation risks.
- The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, extending its 2026 policy pause.
According to a BBC report, U.S. officials have released details of a proposed memorandum that would extend the ceasefire between Washington and Tehran while reopening key shipping routes in the Middle East. The framework centers on restoring access through the Strait of Hormuz and links economic benefits for Iran to compliance with agreed conditions.
Speaking at the G7 summit in France, President Donald Trump said the agreement could be signed as soon as the following day. Reports also indicated that Vice President JD Vance is expected to attend the formal signing ceremony, underscoring support from senior U.S. officials.
Despite those developments, digital asset traders have shown little enthusiasm. Bitcoin and most major cryptocurrencies traded lower during the day, while investors continued reducing exposure to risk assets amid uncertainty over monetary policy and geopolitical events.
Investors remain focused on Federal Reserve policy
Alongside developments in the Middle East, market attention has turned to the Federal Reserve after policymakers left interest rates unchanged at their June meeting.
As previously reported by crypto.news, the Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on June 17. The Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to keep rates steady, extending a policy pause that has remained in place throughout 2026.
The decision matched market expectations, though investors have continued evaluating what it means for financial markets in the months ahead. Particular attention has shifted toward Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s first post-meeting press conference, where traders are seeking additional guidance on inflation and the possibility of tighter monetary policy later this year.
With borrowing costs remaining elevated and inflation concerns still present, analysts have noted that risk assets could struggle to attract sustained inflows regardless of improving geopolitical headlines.
Geopolitical progress has yet to lift crypto sentiment
Market participants have historically responded to major geopolitical developments because changes in global stability often influence investor demand for risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.
Earlier reports showed that crypto prices recovered after Trump confirmed plans to pursue a peace agreement with Iran. Falling oil prices and expectations of reduced tensions also helped improve sentiment across several financial markets.
Even so, the latest price action suggests traders remain cautious while waiting for the agreement to be finalized. According to the BBC report, the proposed framework still requires formal approval and implementation, leaving room for unexpected developments before the deal takes effect.
For now, investors appear to be weighing the prospect of a U.S.-Iran agreement against concerns surrounding inflation, interest rates, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Until those uncertainties become clearer, the crypto market has shown little willingness to treat the approaching deal as a catalyst for a sustained rebound.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
The AI boom may follow the path of the 19th-century railway bubble, and builders may not be the ultimate winners
Goldman Sachs analyst Bobby Molavi compared the current situation to the 19th-century British railway mania: 500 companies spent more than the nation's annual income building 8,000 miles of railway, with most early investors losing out, while the real beneficiaries were the later "passengers." He pointed out that the current AI craze is driven by both debt and momentum, and that the S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio of 18x is only "a bit cheaper." Whether the builders can retain value is uncertain, and history does not offer an optimistic answer.

If Anthropic's IPO goes smoothly and the stock price rises next week, then everything remains the same for AI. Otherwise, some companies will go bankrupt.
The shrinking valuations of two major giants have triggered a chain reaction—investors are adopting more conservative revenue multiples for AI startups and are directly halting high-valuation financing for companies with zero revenue. Multiple venture capital firms have advised their portfolio companies to lower valuation expectations and to quickly build up cash reserves. Market participants warn that the outcome of Anthropic’s IPO will be a barometer for the industry: if successful, the boom will continue; if it fails, some companies may face elimination.
After the Brazilian election, political discount deepens; Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Petrobras (PBR.US), focusing on fuel pricing and dividends
Morgan Stanley still maintains its most optimistic "Overweight" rating, but has lowered its year-end 2027 target price from $31 to $25.

Corning (GLW.US) receives initial "Buy" rating from Jefferies! AI factories driving a fiber optic rush, with a potential global supply gap of up to 30%
For Corning, the recent profit growth mainly comes from the expansion of AI clusters. As the number of optical links crossing cabinets and campuses increases, customers need to deploy more optical fibers within limited conduit and cabinet space, thus driving demand for high-density optical cables and connection systems.

