Indonesian Rupiah struggles as traders adopt caution ahead of Fed decision
USD/IDR gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 17,770 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces challenges as traders adopt caution ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision due later in the day.
The US central bank is widely expected to maintain a cautious "wait-and-see" approach, keeping its benchmark interest rate unchanged within the 3.50% to 3.75% range. Traders expect Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to adopt a more hawkish tone during his first policy meeting.
The upside of the USD/IDR pair could be limited as risk aversion eases amid growing expectations of a breakthrough peace deal between the United States (US) and Iran. US Vice President JD Vance stated on Tuesday that President Donald Trump may release a preliminary agreement to end the war ahead of schedule, following the president's earlier comments that the framework had already been signed.
Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi confirmed that a new round of negotiations aimed at reaching a final, comprehensive peace deal is set to begin in Switzerland.
The Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) could face further challenges as falling foreign exchange reserves highlight the rising cost of central bank intervention. However, traders expect the Bank Indonesia (BI) to maintain a hawkish tightening bias on Thursday to defend the currency.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
The AI boom may follow the path of the 19th-century railway bubble, and builders may not be the ultimate winners
Goldman Sachs analyst Bobby Molavi compared the current situation to the 19th-century British railway mania: 500 companies spent more than the nation's annual income building 8,000 miles of railway, with most early investors losing out, while the real beneficiaries were the later "passengers." He pointed out that the current AI craze is driven by both debt and momentum, and that the S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio of 18x is only "a bit cheaper." Whether the builders can retain value is uncertain, and history does not offer an optimistic answer.

If Anthropic's IPO goes smoothly and the stock price rises next week, then everything remains the same for AI. Otherwise, some companies will go bankrupt.
The shrinking valuations of two major giants have triggered a chain reaction—investors are adopting more conservative revenue multiples for AI startups and are directly halting high-valuation financing for companies with zero revenue. Multiple venture capital firms have advised their portfolio companies to lower valuation expectations and to quickly build up cash reserves. Market participants warn that the outcome of Anthropic’s IPO will be a barometer for the industry: if successful, the boom will continue; if it fails, some companies may face elimination.
After the Brazilian election, political discount deepens; Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Petrobras (PBR.US), focusing on fuel pricing and dividends
Morgan Stanley still maintains its most optimistic "Overweight" rating, but has lowered its year-end 2027 target price from $31 to $25.

Corning (GLW.US) receives initial "Buy" rating from Jefferies! AI factories driving a fiber optic rush, with a potential global supply gap of up to 30%
For Corning, the recent profit growth mainly comes from the expansion of AI clusters. As the number of optical links crossing cabinets and campuses increases, customers need to deploy more optical fibers within limited conduit and cabinet space, thus driving demand for high-density optical cables and connection systems.

