Tao surges 24 percent in a single day to $264

Technical signals and momentum shift

Before Thursday’s sharp rise, TAO price had been locked in a narrow range for months. Each attempt at recovery during the downtrend met resistance and was sold off, leading much of the market to grow pessimistic about the chart’s outlook.

Meanwhile, certain technical indicators hinted at a reversal even before a clear price confirmation surfaced. The relative strength index (RSI) approached the low 30s—levels seen at previous major dips—before turning upwards, suggesting a recovery in momentum.

Glossary: The RSI measures whether an asset is approaching overbought or oversold territory in the short term, indicating momentum. The MACD is another tool for tracking the strength and direction of price trends.

The analyst known as 2xnmore pointed out that momentum oscillators began to rise before the price movement confirmed this change. In the MACD histogram, there was a period of compression lasting several weeks—a structure seen as an early warning that sellers were losing control rather than buyers gaining strength.

Many will ask what caused this sharp move in TAO, but the answer was visible in the chart for a while, observed analyst 2xnmore.

Trading volume on the day of the surge was another notable aspect. The volume significantly exceeded that of the previous two months of mostly sideways movement, indicating a move stronger than a typical technical rebound.

Network activity and key price levels

On the network side, subnet activity within Bittensor accelerated silently while TAO’s price was falling. Bittensor is recognized as a decentralized network focused on artificial intelligence. The divergence between price action and network growth appears to have been overlooked by many retail investors.

Glossary: In the Bittensor ecosystem, a subnet is a subnetwork focused on specific tasks or AI use cases, allowing different areas of expertise to develop independently within separate layers.

The article also notes that discussions regarding Bittensor’s positioning in decentralized artificial intelligence—some involving co-founder Jacob Steeves—are still in the early stages. Historically, AI-themed tokens have displayed cyclical price movements, with the first breakout candle often not signaling the end of a run.

Going forward, the $280 to $320 range has emerged as a critical resistance level. This area previously served as support before the decline and regaining it on a closing basis is seen as a key bullish signal for the technical outlook. Additionally, the 200-day moving average remains a foundational threshold for long-term direction.