Türkiye: Policy discipline offsets political noise – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management notes that political uncertainty and higher Oil prices have added volatility to Turkish assets and pressured reserves. Yet the MSCI Türkiye Index has held up, supported by healthy reserves and a managed Lira float. The central bank’s orthodox stance since 2023, focused on high rates to tame inflation, is seen as a key anchor for market resilience.
Lira support and orthodoxy aid resilience
"Recent domestic political uncertainty in Türkiye has injected some volatility into the country’s asset markets. Meanwhile, conflict in the Middle East and the associated rise in oil prices have pressured reserves, given that Türkiye is a big net oil importer. However, the MSCI Türkiye Index has been performing well."
"This is a good example of how EM economies are proving increasingly resilient. In the case of Türkiye, this reflects two main factors."
"First, helped by the surge in gold prices in recent years, international reserves remain sufficiently healthy to keep the managed float of the lira alive. This limits the lira’s depreciation."
"Second, policymakers have been disciplined. Following a pivot to economic orthodoxy in May 2023, Türkiye’s central bank (CBRT) has pursued policies focused on taming inflation through high interest rates, unperturbed by domestic political developments."
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Bitcoin’s MA200 at $73,200 — Inverse H&S Neckline Is the Only Level Left
Bitcoin Supply Velocity Hits 10-Year Low as ETH Supply Diverges
Just bet on AI and already faced a market blow! Berkshire reports earnings tonight, Abel faces a major test in his transformation
Greg Abel has been leading Berkshire Hathaway for less than a year, yet he has already made a bet of over $10.9 billion on the AI sector, marking a complete break from Buffett’s traditional avoidance of tech stocks. However, Alphabet’s stock price has fallen below their initial purchase cost, and Bending Spoons continues to decline, putting this bold AI gamble to the test. At the same time, third-quarter earnings per share are expected to drop 6% year-over-year, and the share repurchase program is likely to plummet from $4.5 billion to $1.6 billion. How to deploy $358 billion in cash will be a major challenge for the new leader’s capital allocation skills.
Has the AI bubble burst? Goldman Sachs: It's more like 1998 than 2000 right now
The Goldman Sachs trading desk stated that the current wave of sell-offs resembles the 1998 liquidity crisis more than the bursting of the 2000 bubble. It is a forced deleveraging rather than a refutation of business fundamentals. The market is drastically repricing construction financing and timeline expectations, rather than underlying demand. Moreover, the issues currently drawing the most attention from the market—electricity and licensing—are actually the least important, as limited supply does not equate to disappearing demand. The real question that needs to be answered is whether long-term revenues can ultimately justify the capital invested.
Crypto prices
More
