Phillip Nova: Oil prices surpassing $100 highlights supply pressure and growth risks
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- Piyanka Sachdeva, analyst at Phillip Nova, stated that the Brent crude oil price breaking through $100 per barrel signals tightening supply. The geopolitical backdrop is far from stable and continues to bring a “war premium”, while transport through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted. The lack of progress in US-Iran negotiations has heightened market concerns that the duration of supply disruptions in the Middle East may exceed expectations.
- Sachdeva noted that setbacks in diplomatic progress are making the market more driven by geopolitical news rather than traditional supply and demand fundamentals. If oil prices continue to rise toward $110 to $120 per barrel, the downside risks to the global economic growth outlook could intensify, especially for economies dependent on oil imports.
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