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An account with over $1.2 million in profits has purchased $34,000 worth of “The U.S. will not invade Iran before 2027”

An account with over $1.2 million in profits has purchased $34,000 worth of “The U.S. will not invade Iran before 2027”

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/04/23 04:36
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According to monitoring by Odaily Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “Will the US invade Iran before 2027”, a high-win rate account (ID: Car, address: 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b) with more than 1.25 million USD in profit currently holds a “No” position of about 34,000 USD, with an average entry price of 66.8¢.

According to the market rules, the standard for determining an “invasion” is that the US initiates a military attack aimed at establishing control over any Iranian territory before 11:59 PM (ET) on December 31, 2026. If no such military action takes place, the market will settle as “No”. The rules specifically emphasize that the scope of territory is based on the actual control situation as of November 4, 2025.

Odaily Seer channel continues to follow prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.

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