The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%

金色财经2026/04/15 22:32

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April 16 — According to CME "FedWatch": there is a 1.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in April, and a 98.4% probability of keeping rates unchanged. By June, there is a 0% probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by the Federal Reserve, a 98% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 2% probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points.

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Over time, action needs to be taken to ensure that inflation falls back to the 2% target in a timely and sustained manner. Williams' statement is more explicit than before; previously, he indicated his support for the Federal Reserve to first gather information before determining its policy stance, but this speech further supplements with a clear signal that "further action is necessary."

华尔街见闻•2026/11/13 06:41