The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates once in 2026 is only 24.8% on Kalshi
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Foresight News reports that the latest data from Kalshi shows the market estimates only a 24.8% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points once in 2026, a 40.9% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 17% probability of two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points.
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