VanEck: The market is pricing in a more sustained oil price shock, and stocks may prove relatively resilient
- VanEck Associates Corp. stated that after Trump ordered the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude oil prices soared, indicating that investors’ doubts about a US-Iran ceasefire have deepened, and they are increasingly pricing in a more lasting oil price shock.
- VanEck cross-asset strategist Anna Wu pointed out that the market is beginning to believe that the oil price shock is no longer a short-term disruption, but a medium- to long-term scenario—oil prices may “remain at higher levels for a longer period.”
- This oil price rebound is more like a technical rebound; previously, following the announcement of the ceasefire, oil prices once plummeted by 17% in a single day.
- Against this backdrop, as the market adapts to a new price range, equities could prove more resilient.
- This dynamic is similar to how investors previously responded to tariff risks: first there is a concentrated “repricing,” and then, after the worst-case scenario is absorbed, risk factors gradually fade into “background noise.”
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
"Big Short" Burry increases short positions on Nasdaq 100 and semiconductors, says Nvidia (NVDA.US) influence may enter a "new paradigm"
"The Big Short" Michael Burry has increased his bearish bets on the Nasdaq 100 Index and semiconductor stocks.
Duan Yongping: Currently will not sell Nvidia, and in the future Jensen Huang may return as a “shadow CEO”
Duan Yongping has made it clear that he will not sell Nvidia and sold a large number of put options on the day the news was released. Nvidia may invite Jensen Huang to serve as an advisor, taking on a “shadow CEO” role to retain his influence, but he would no longer have signing authority. Whether this scenario materializes will likely only become clear after the hearing concludes.
US Research Review - Azenta, Cencora, Stratasys
After Jensen Huang stepped down, Nvidia (NVDA.US) shares plunged; retail investors bought up $111 million within half an hour of the market opening.
Retail investors are still betting on a rebound in NVIDIA (NVDA.US) stock price.
Crypto prices
More
