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Analyst: The current BTC short-term trading environment is challenging; average investors are advised to focus on dollar-cost averaging.

Analyst: The current BTC short-term trading environment is challenging; average investors are advised to focus on dollar-cost averaging.

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/04/12 08:13
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According to Odaily, crypto analyst Murphy stated on X that short-term trading in Bitcoin is currently extremely challenging. For most investors, sticking to a systematic investment plan over the next 6 months may be a better strategy, offering a win rate close to “100%.” It's crucial to distinguish between investment and trading. Over the past two months, Murphy has made only 4 trades—3 were profitable and 1 resulted in a loss. His latest position was opened in batches at $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage, and was stopped out due to market volatility.

Therefore, it's essential to avoid “holding onto losing positions” and wishful thinking, as these can easily lead to small gains and large losses. Decisions should be based on the broader trend, and strict discipline must be maintained for short-term trades. The core of analysis is to serve trading decisions, not emotional speculation.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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