CITIC Securities: Middle East situation remains uncertain, commodity price divergence continues in the second quarter

金十2026/04/11 03:11

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Golden Ten Data, April 11 – According to a research report from CITIC Securities, since March 2026, Middle East conflicts have led to rotation in commodity price fluctuations. There is strong upward expectation for energy and chemical products, while prices of some basic metals have adjusted due to weakening demand driven by slowed global economic growth. Looking ahead to the second quarter, the duration of Middle East conflicts may become one of the key variables affecting commodity price volatility. If the conflict continues, the commodity price trends seen since March are likely to strengthen further; if the conflict ends, demand-side logic for different categories could become the main driver for price changes. Overall, energy and chemical product prices are expected to perform well in the second quarter; at the same time, attention can be paid to lithium carbonate and electrolytic aluminum, where the supply side is disrupted and demand remains strong.

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