U.S. Markets Macro Preview for the Week (April 7-10)
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U.S. Markets Macro Preview for the Week (April 7-10):
Ongoing uncertainty surrounding Iran’s diplomatic and military situation continues to impact oil prices and risk sentiment. FOMC minutes from March and Goolsbee’s speech are expected to reflect a wait-and-see approach regarding geopolitical tensions. Core PCE and CPI will test the pass-through effects of oil prices. Earnings from Delta and Levi’s will probe the resilience of the airline and consumer sectors. Volatility is likely to intensify.
April 7 (Tuesday)
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20:30 — U.S. February Durable Goods Orders MoM
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Trump’s deadline signals for Iran’s energy facilities/Hormuz Strait (deadline has been repeatedly adjusted; watch for new developments or negotiations this week) (★★★★★)
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Earnings after market: Levi's (LEVI)—focus on consumer demand amid geopolitical risks and elevated oil prices
April 8 (Wednesday)
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04:30 — API Crude Oil Inventories; 22:30 — EIA Crude Oil Inventories (★★★★☆; inventory dynamics are highly sensitive given ongoing conflicts)
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FOMC March meeting minutes release (expected to reinforce a cautious stance amid uncertainties in geopolitics and oil prices) (★★★★★)
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Earnings: Delta Air Lines (pre-market), Constellation Brands, Applied Digital (after market)—focus on fuel cost pressures and consumer demand resilience in aviation
April 9 (Thursday)
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U.S. February Core PCE Price Index, Q4 GDP annualized final estimate, weekly initial jobless claims (as of April 4)
April 10 (Friday)
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U.S. March CPI YoY/MoM (★★★★★); preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for April + 1-year inflation expectations
Trading advice for the week: Maintain flexible positions, with a focus on oil prices (WTI/Brent), VIX, and the US dollar index. Geopolitical headlines will drive short-term sentiment, while inflation data and FOMC minutes will guide medium-term trends.
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