A new wallet builds a $200,000 position with the note: "The United States will not invade Iran before March 31."

A wallet newly created on Polymarket four days ago opened a $200,000 position on “The US will not invade Iran before March 31,” with an entry price of 86.7¢. The current market price is 83.5¢, and the event has seen a trading volume of nearly $24 million.

Yesterday, a senior Iranian official stated that there are currently no arrangements for negotiations, and any dialogue plan at this stage seems unrealistic. Iran’s assessment of the “15-point proposal” is that the agreement is “one-sided and unjust,” serving only the interests of the US and Israel. In addition, Trump stated that he is conducting very substantial negotiations with Iran and will announce a new negotiation “final deadline.”

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