Polymarket bets only a 5% probability that the Israel-Iran war will end by the end of March

Polymarket data shows that the probability of betting on "the US-Israel war with Iran ending before March 31" is only 5%, a significant decrease compared to the early stages of the conflict. Meanwhile, the probability of the conflict ending by April 30 is 35%, and by June 30 is 57%. The total trading volume in this market is approximately $3.7 million. President Trump previously predicted that US military operations in the Middle East would last four to five weeks.