Here’s How Staking Could Send XRP to Double Digits
XRP could see substantial price growth if a significant portion of its circulating supply becomes illiquid. Crypto expert and commentator Amonyx (@amonyx) noted that with 30% of XRP removed from the liquid market, prices could reach $7.50 to $11.00.
These numbers rely on the liquidity premiums concept rather than historical averages, reflecting how constrained supply can affect market pricing.
$7.50 Target and Supply Constraints
At the time of Amonyx’s analysis, XRP traded at $1.28. At the lower end, $7.50 represents approximately a sixfold increase from that price. Historical market cycles show that supply shocks, such as Bitcoin halvings, have triggered substantial price moves even when larger liquid supplies remained.
In XRP’s case, removing 18.33 billion tokens establishes a scarcity dynamic that can elevate market pricing ahead of utility adoption. This approach treats the reduced supply as a structural driver, allowing the market to price in liquidity constraints independently of immediate usage.
If 30% of the circulating $XRP supply gets staked, price targets around $7.5 – $11 are possible. But what happens if 50%… or even 70% gets locked?
— Amonyx (@amonyx) March 2, 2026
$11 Target and Liquidity Crunch
The upper target of $11 corresponds to what analysts describe as the “Liquidity Crunch” peak. If demand for XRP, particularly for cross-border settlements, remains steady or grows while available liquid supply drops, prices could face minimal resistance.
At this point, the market would react more aggressively to the limited supply, potentially pushing XRP toward its projected peak.
In practical terms, higher adoption in financial transactions amplifies the effect of a constrained supply, making each unit of XRP more sought after.
Higher Supply Lock Scenarios
These scenarios become more pronounced if staking or long-term locking exceeds 30%. If 50% or even 70% of circulating XRP is removed from active trading, the price range could expand significantly. The combination of persistent demand for settlement liquidity and a sharply reduced market float creates conditions for exponential valuation adjustments.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :-
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
The effect of locking such a high percentage of XRP could push prices well above previous predictions. However, this will only happen if demand is sustained or increases.
Looking Ahead
Overall, XRP’s market structure shows a direct correlation between illiquid supply and valuation potential. The current projections, based on 30% supply removal, indicate $7.50 to $11.00 is possible. Staking is now available to the XRP army. As more tokens are locked up, XRP could experience a notable increase.
Expanding that removal rate could further accelerate growth, emphasizing how liquidity premiums can dominate price formation in high-conviction scenarios.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Nvidia falls to its lowest valuation in 14 years! "Super bull" Tom Lee calls for bottom fishing, retail investors are buying more as it drops, but Wall Street is divided
After the market opened on Thursday, retail investors went against the trend and bought up Nvidia, with net purchases reaching $111 million in just half an hour, setting a record for the same period. Investors such as Tom Lee have publicly supported the company, with institutions optimistic about strong order backlogs extending to 2028, robust revenue growth, and opportunities created by declining valuations. Meanwhile, institutions like Bernstein and Goldman Sachs have become more cautious about Nvidia's outlook, with concerns focusing on management succession and technological leadership following Jensen Huang's departure.

Jane Street boosts Fidelity Bitcoin ETF stake 8x in Q3, trims BlackRock IBIT

From SpaceX to Anthropic, the market has new strategies for dealing with tech giants' IPOs
The market's response strategies to major listings are currently centered around "index inclusion expectations": the new regulations allow mega IPOs to be included in the six major indices within 15 days, triggering concentrated buying by passive funds. Investors are positioning themselves in advance and using options to hedge and amplify buying power. However, Anthropic has a free float of only about 6%; shares available for sale by employees on the first day and privately placed shares with no lock-up period may create supply pressure. On the other hand, index arbitrageurs are facing a rare opportunity.

Nvidia Q3 Earnings Preview: Revenue Expectations and Key Metrics to Watch
