US crude oil short-term trading advice: fluctuating upward, buy on dips

（1）Analysis Reason: OPEC+ has internally signaled discussions about partially resuming production increases in April, raising market expectations for a marginal relaxation in supply and causing risk premiums to decline. Meanwhile, the latest US non-farm payroll data showed solid performance, reinforcing expectations of “higher interest rates for longer,” keeping the US dollar index strong and putting pressure on dollar-denominated commodities. In addition, the pace of global demand recovery remains moderate, and changes in refinery operations and inventories have not yet formed a clear destocking trend. On the technical side, prices are running below short-term moving averages, with limited rebound momentum. Against a fundamentally bearish backdrop, prices are more likely to consolidate weakly within a range.（2）Key Focus: Geopolitical situation, trade sentiment, inventory data, US dollar index（3）Resistance: 63.50, 64.00, 64.60（4）Support: 62.50, 62.00, 61.60