Ether set for another ‘V-shaped recovery,’ says Tom Lee

Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee said he expects Ether to rebound quickly following recent declines, arguing the asset has experienced eight such recoveries since 2018.

“A lot of people are frustrated, but keep in mind that Ethereum, since 2018, has fallen more than 50% eight times，” Lee at a conference in Hong Kong on Wednesday. 

Last year, Ethereum fell 64% from January to March, he added. 

“But eight out of eight times, Ethereum has had a V-shaped bottom. So it has recovered 100% of the time within almost the same speed that it fell.” 

He argued that nothing has changed and that Ether (ETH) will see another V-shaped bottom. 

The previous eight drawdowns saw V-shaped recoveries for ETH. Source: Fundstrat

ETH is close to the bottom, says Lee

BitMine market analyst Tom DeMark flagged the $1,890 price level as a potential bottom but said it would tap this twice in an “undercut.” Lee stated that this would be a “perfected bottom,” adding: 

“We think Ethereum is really close to the bottom, and I think it's just like the fall of 2018, fall of 2022, and April 2025. You don’t really have to worry about the bottom. If you’ve already seen a decline, you should be thinking about opportunities here instead of selling.” 

Related: Analysts debate whether Ether has capitulated or has further to fall

Ether prices tanked to $1,760 on Coinbase on Feb. 6, short of dropping below the 2025 low of just over $1,400, according to TradingView.

The asset has failed to hold above $2,000, falling to $1,970 at the time of writing following a 37% crash over the past 30 days. 

Ether staking entry wait at all-time high

Despite the asset’s poor performance this year, data shows there is still strong demand for Ether staking. 

The current wait to stake Ether is at an all-time high of 71 days with a record 4 million ETH in the validator entry queue. The percentage of supply staked is also at a record high of 30.3% or 36.7 million ETH. 

The obvious impact of this is a “massive supply restriction，” analyst “Milk Road” on Wednesday.  

“One-third of all ETH is now illiquid, earning a modest 2.83% APR,” they added. “That’s not sexy yield by crypto standards. Yet people are lining up anyway.” 

“When people lock up $74 billion during a price dip, they're not speculating. They're settling in.”

Ethereum staking entry queue at peak wait times. Source: ValidatorQueue

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