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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 78.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 21.7%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 78.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 21.7%.

ChaincatcherChaincatcher2026/02/11 13:25
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ChainCatcher News, according to Golden Ten Data, CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 78.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 21.7%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.7%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 58.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49%.

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