The probability of the event "The US and Iran reach a nuclear agreement before 2027" on Polymarket is currently reported at 44%.
According to Odaily, data from the Polymarket website shows that the probability of the event "The United States and Iran reach a nuclear agreement before 2027" is currently reported at 44%. Previously, the probability of this event occurring once rose to 57%, but has now slightly declined.
The Iran nuclear agreement refers to the deal reached between Iran and countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and France under the support of the United Nations, in which Iran agreed to limit the development of its nuclear program in exchange for the gradual lifting of economic and financial sanctions by all parties. On May 8, 2018, U.S. President Trump announced at the White House that the United States would withdraw from the Iran nuclear agreement.
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