2026 Fed Rate Final Value Outlook: The probability of a 50 basis point cut for the full year is 32.5%, and the probability of a 75 basis point cut is 25.9%
BlockBeats News, February 8th, according to CME FedWatch data, by the end of 2026, the probability of the Fed not cutting interest rates at all for the full year is 5.4%, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut throughout the year is 21.1%, the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 32.5%, the probability of a total 75 basis point cut is 25.9%, the probability of a total 100 basis point cut is 11.7%, and the probability of a total 125 basis point cut is 3%.
Furthermore, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next meeting (March) is 23.2%.
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