After the release of US employment data this week, the probability of a rate cut has risen again to 16%.
BlockBeats News, February 6, this Thursday, the number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending January 31 was 231,000, higher than the expected 212,000. In addition, ADP research data released on Wednesday showed that the private sector added only 22,000 jobs in January, below market expectations, and the previous month's data was revised downward.
The related employment data has reignited market attention on the Federal Reserve's March decision. As of press time, the probability of a rate cut in March on Polymarket has risen from 8% two days ago to 16%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged has dropped from 91% to 82%.
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