The probability of a U.S. government shutdown in 2026 surges to 76%, posing risks to cryptocurrencies

According to a report by Bijie Network: Data from Polymarket shows that if Congress fails to pass the $1.2 trillion fiscal appropriations plan by January 30, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown is as high as 76.5%. The outcome of the Senate vote remains uncertain, and the plan requires 60 votes to pass. In November last year, the U.S. government experienced a 43-day shutdown due to delayed release of economic data, during which the price of bitcoin fell by 9%, dropping from around $103,000 to $94,000. Other cryptocurrencies also saw price declines of 12% to 25%, as the delayed release of economic data reduced market transparency.