Was Vitalik also the Prediction Market 10U War God? The main account prefers to bet on high-probability events, with 141 trades resulting in a small loss of $1,120.

BlockBeats News, January 28th, according to Polymarket data, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin's verified account joined the platform in March 2023, participated in a total of 141 prediction markets, with a maximum single profit of $54.8, accumulated loss of $1,120 for all trades, and currently has no ongoing prediction trades.

In terms of trading style, Vitalik prefers to "bet on high-probability events" on this account. For example, about 2 months ago, he invested $3,867, betting on "the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates by more than 25 basis points in December 2025" in a nearly 100% probability scenario, ultimately making a profit of $3.87;

3 months ago, Vitalik bet a total of $600 at 93% and 96% probabilities, buying "MetaMask will not launch a coin in the year 205," and sold actively 2 months ago at a 97% probability, earning $25.53.

Interestingly, most of Vitalik's betting transaction amounts are only $10, with single profits usually only a few cents. However, he did not start with this strategy from the beginning. In his first transaction after creating the account, he spent $665 betting at 56% probability that "Arbitrum will not airdrop before March 31st" (the actual announcement confirmed on March 16th and airdrop on March 23rd), and ultimately sold at 26% probability at a loss of $356.74.