Barclays raises U.S. Q4 GDP growth forecast

According to TechFlow, on December 24, Barclays economists pointed out in a research report that the Federal Reserve is likely to view the unexpected acceleration of US GDP in the third quarter as a signal that underlying demand remains strong. Although more volatile components such as net exports may have exaggerated the overall growth momentum, the continued expansion of consumer spending still demonstrates fundamental resilience. The economists noted that although economic performance was volatile in the first half of 2025, overall demand had accumulated significant momentum by the end of the year. Based on this, Barclays has slightly raised its forecast for year-on-year GDP growth in the fourth quarter by about 0.3 percentage points to 2.0%. (Golden Ten Data)