On Polymarket, the probability of Warsh being nominated by Trump as Federal Reserve Chair has risen to 38%.
on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Waller being nominated by Trump as Federal Reserve Chair rose from 7% to 38%, while the probability of Kevin Hassett, Director of the National Economic Council, being nominated fell from a high of 85% to 52%. On the prediction market Kalshi, the probability of Waller being nominated rose from 10% to 41%, and the probability of Hassett being nominated fell from a high of 81% to 51%.
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