Data: Polymarket predicts a 59% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $90,000 this year.

according to the latest data from Polymarket, the predicted probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 within 2025 is 59%, down 11% from the previous predicted probability of 70%; the probability of falling below $80,000 is 23%. In contrast, the predicted probability of BTC breaking above $120,000 within the year is 21%. The total trading volume of the current prediction pool has exceeded $56 million.