Pi Coin Stuck Between Whale Conviction and Retail Slowdown — Which Side Breaks First?
Pi Coin price trades in a tight range as big money supports the lows and retail slows down. Diverging money flows reveal a tug-of-war beneath the surface, while a bullish RSI divergence hints that momentum may soon shift toward recovery.
Pi Coin price has traded almost flat over the past week, up 1% in the past 24 hours, but still down 14% weekly. Since the November 4 crash, when the token briefly dipped to $0.20, it has stayed in a narrow range.
That calm hides a deeper shift — retail traders are slowing down, but large holders seem to be cautiously supporting the price.
Retail Cools While Whales Hold the Line
Two major money flow indicators now show why Pi Coin’s range is holding firm. The Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures buying and selling strength using both price and volume, broke below its upward trendline on November 2.
That move possibly signals that retail inflows are fading, as smaller traders paused accumulation amid the Pi Coin price slowdown.
Pi Coin Money Flow Weakens:
At the same time, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks whether large investors are moving money in or out, took support at its lower trendline on November 3 and has started turning up. While CMF is still below zero, this recovery hints that whales are stepping in, preventing a deeper fall.
Large Wallets Are Back:
These opposite trends explain Pi Coin’s steady range: retail activity is cooling, but big money is quietly defending the lows. If CMF crosses above zero and MFI reverses higher, both money streams would point in the same direction. That’s often the first sign before a breakout.
RSI Divergence Builds Early Pi Coin Price Rebound Potential
Momentum also shows hints of recovery. Between October 25 and November 4, Pi Coin’s price made a lower low, while its Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum, made a higher low, forming a bullish divergence. This pattern often means sellers are losing strength and buyers are beginning to return.
To confirm a rebound, Pi Coin must hold above $0.22 and break $0.25 — a 17.25% gain from current levels. Clearing that level could open paths toward $0.27 and $0.29.
Pi Coin Price Analysis:
If CMF weakens or price falls below $0.20, the Pi Coin price could test $0.19 or even $0.15 in a deeper correction.
For now, Pi Coin remains range-bound — retail patience fading, whales accumulating, and a quiet divergence building under the surface.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
The AI boom may follow the path of the 19th-century railway bubble, and builders may not be the ultimate winners
Goldman Sachs analyst Bobby Molavi compared the current situation to the 19th-century British railway mania: 500 companies spent more than the nation's annual income building 8,000 miles of railway, with most early investors losing out, while the real beneficiaries were the later "passengers." He pointed out that the current AI craze is driven by both debt and momentum, and that the S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio of 18x is only "a bit cheaper." Whether the builders can retain value is uncertain, and history does not offer an optimistic answer.

If Anthropic's IPO goes smoothly and the stock price rises next week, then everything remains the same for AI. Otherwise, some companies will go bankrupt.
The shrinking valuations of two major giants have triggered a chain reaction—investors are adopting more conservative revenue multiples for AI startups and are directly halting high-valuation financing for companies with zero revenue. Multiple venture capital firms have advised their portfolio companies to lower valuation expectations and to quickly build up cash reserves. Market participants warn that the outcome of Anthropic’s IPO will be a barometer for the industry: if successful, the boom will continue; if it fails, some companies may face elimination.
After the Brazilian election, political discount deepens; Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Petrobras (PBR.US), focusing on fuel pricing and dividends
Morgan Stanley still maintains its most optimistic "Overweight" rating, but has lowered its year-end 2027 target price from $31 to $25.

Corning (GLW.US) receives initial "Buy" rating from Jefferies! AI factories driving a fiber optic rush, with a potential global supply gap of up to 30%
For Corning, the recent profit growth mainly comes from the expansion of AI clusters. As the number of optical links crossing cabinets and campuses increases, customers need to deploy more optical fibers within limited conduit and cabinet space, thus driving demand for high-density optical cables and connection systems.

