Pro Trader Gives Bitcoin Warning Based On 1970s Soybean Crash

A debate is heating up among top market analysts. This follows veteran cryptocurrency trader Peter Brandt’s suggestion that Bitcoin’s recent price action is dangerously mirroring a pattern observed in the 1970s soybean market.

This pattern indicates the current cycle may have already reached its peak.

The Rare ‘Broadening Top’ Formation

Peter Brandt is a veteran trader and chart analyst who has been active in the futures and forex markets since 1975. He has gained notoriety over decades for accurate trend predictions and trades across commodities, futures, and crypto markets.

Brandt became particularly famous for his pattern analysis, which precisely predicted the Bitcoin price action in 2017–2018.

In a recent X post, Brandt pointed out that Bitcoin is currently forming a rare “broadening top” pattern on its charts. This technical analysis formation is characterized by two trend lines that increasingly diverge.

This action creates a megaphone shape as the price swings within a wider range.

1970s Soybeans CBT Chart. Source: PeterLBrandt

This pattern is typically recognized as a reversal signal appearing at the climax of an upward trend. The completion of the pattern often results in a sharp breakdown below the lower trend line, signaling the start of a major bearish reversal.

Historical Parallel to Soybeans and MSTR Risk

Brandt drew a direct historical comparison to justify his caution: “In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value. Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern.”

He highlighted a significant market risk: “A 50% decline in $BTC will put $MSTR underwater.” The possibility of a collapse in MicroStrategy (MSTR) triggering a downward spiral in Bitcoin is a known, though unusual, scenario. This is given MSTR’s massive BTC holdings.

Contrary to market expectations, Brandt concluded that a massive bull run may not materialize this cycle. Instead, he suggested that Bitcoin could correct down to $60,000.

Counterpoint: Is It a Bullish ‘Wedge’?

Brandt’s bearish thesis did not go unchallenged. Prominent chart analyst immediately rebutted Brandt’s post.

The analyst agreed that both the 1970s soybean chart and the 2025 Bitcoin chart display a broadening structure, which is characterized by increasingly higher highs and lower lows. However, he argued that the underlying trend differentiates their meaning.

He contended that the soybean chart was an Ascending Megaphone pattern formed during an uptrend. In contrast, Bitcoin’s price is currently situated within a Descending Broadening Wedge.

This wedge, he noted, is a structure where downside selling pressure weakens as energy accumulates, ultimately foreshadowing a bullish breakout.