The Real Recovery Phase: How Should the Market Rebuild After Leverage Liquidation?

The crash is over.
Leverage has been liquidated, funding rates have returned to zero, and open interest (OI) has been almost completely wiped out.
Now, the real question arises—
How will the market rebuild from the ruins?
1️⃣ A rebound that's too fast is not strength, but a trap
If prices surge rapidly,
OI spikes again, and funding rates turn positive,
that is usually not a “strong comeback,” but rather a **“repeat of the same mistake”**.
Those leveraged positions that were liquidated last week
will add to their positions again at the same levels,
causing the market to replay a “bull trap.”
A quick rebound only creates the illusion of liquidity,
not a true recovery of buying interest.
2️⃣ Real recovery comes from being “slow” and “steady”
If the market starts to climb slowly,
OI grows moderately, funding rates remain neutral,
and spot inflows steadily rise—
that means the market is rebuilding on the basis of real buying.
When this kind of “clean accumulation” begins,
volatility will decrease, trading volume will stabilize, and on-chain accumulation by long-term addresses will appear.
This is the healthiest phase before the bull market restarts.
3️⃣ Four key indicators to watch right now
1️⃣ Speed of OI rebuilding
Too fast = replay of the trap
Slow = healthy recovery
2️⃣ Funding Rate
Neutral = stable structure
Positive = overheating signal
3️⃣ Spot Inflows
Steadily rising = confidence returning
4️⃣ Market Sentiment
Fear is good, greed is dangerous.
4️⃣ Leverage flush brings a short-term “purification window”
This “comprehensive leverage reset” often brings a 2–3 week purification period.
During this time, the impact of spot buying will be amplified 2–3 times,
because the market has temporarily lost the interference of high-leverage funds.
In other words:
Those investors who gradually build positions during this period, stick to spot, and avoid chasing the rally,
will become the biggest winners in the next upward move.
Conclusion:
Now is not the time to “rush in and bet on a rebound,”
but rather the time to observe market structure and let the system naturally rebuild.
The market needs to find its “underlying support” again—
driven by real buying, not leverage.
When you see the following three signals appear at the same time:
✅ OI stabilizes below $55B
✅ Funding rates remain neutral
✅ Net inflows of stablecoins continue to increase
that will mean the market has truly “restarted,”
and the new upward cycle will be more sustainable.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like

Wall Street giants collectively raise rate hike forecasts, US Treasury futures continue to fall, gold drops over 1% to break 4000
After the US October CPI exceeded expectations, Goldman Sachs and Nomura added a forecast for an interest rate hike in March next year, while Deutsche Bank included a forecast for a rate hike in January next year. Currently, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December, with a 13% probability for a 50 basis point hike. On Wednesday, the US Treasury spot market was closed, but Treasury futures continued to fall, with corresponding yields rising by about 2 to 4 basis points, and spot gold came under pressure, dropping by 1.1%.

No Need to Worry About the Cooling Down of AI Data Center Construction? The US Import Boom Is Unlikely to Subside in the Short Term, Real Impact May Come in 2029
It takes an average of 4.8 years from finalizing investment to starting construction of a data center project, and an additional 2.6 years from construction start to becoming operational. Servers usually cannot be installed until after the building structure and racks are completed. For trade partners such as Taiwan (China), South Korea, and Mexico who rely on US data center supply chain demand, the inertia in construction timelines provides at least a one- to two-year buffer for future exports.

Federal Reserve Major Debate: When Should the Tenure of “Number Three” Williams End?
The main point of contention is whether Williams should step down in June 2028, upon completing a full 10-year term, or in June 2027, when he reaches the mandatory retirement age of 65. Analysts point out that the Federal Reserve Board holds ultimate discretion; if he leaves early, Fed Chair Waller would be able to assert greater control over the appointment to this critical position. However, forcing Williams to shorten his term could easily be interpreted as political manipulation. Williams himself is expected to serve until June 2028.

