Bitcoin Demand Surge Needs More Than Dip Buying

Coinomedia2025/10/13 15:51

By:Aurelien SageAurelien Sage

Dip buying isn’t enough — Bitcoin needs stronger accumulation below the STH Realized Price to kickstart a new bull run.Accumulation vs. SpeculationWhat to Watch Next

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Strong demand typically appears when BTC drops 5–10% below STH Realized Price
Current 12% buying spike lacks depth for a major price impulse
Broader accumulation is needed for a new bullish wave

Bitcoin has recently dipped below the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price — a key on-chain metric often used to track speculative demand. Historically, true “greedy” demand emerges when BTC trades 5–10% below this price point. At that stage, speculators see the asset as undervalued and rush in, leading to a surge in buying pressure and often a fresh leg up in the market .

However, while there is a visible increase in buying — currently at around 12% — analysts suggest this looks more like routine dip-buying than the kind of aggressive accumulation that fuels major price rallies.

Accumulation vs. Speculation

The STH Realized Price acts as a psychological benchmark for short-term investors. When Bitcoin trades well below it, it tends to ignite stronger interest. In past cycles, buying pressure would climb into the 30–45% range, reflecting widespread confidence that the market had bottomed.

But the current market reaction is different. The mild increase in demand shows traders are nibbling at the dip rather than jumping in with conviction. Without a deeper and broader accumulation phase, the market may lack the strength to push higher and could remain in a consolidation zone.

True greedy demand appears when the price dips below the STH Realized Price with a 5–10% discount speculators see cheaper Bitcoin, buying pressure spikes to the 30–45% zone, and a new growth wave follows.

The current 12% looks more like dip-buying than broad, sustained… pic.twitter.com/ebNndGVWJC
— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) October 13, 2025

What to Watch Next

If BTC continues to hover just under the STH Realized Price without deeper discounts or a stronger accumulation response, it may delay any significant upward move. Investors should monitor whether buying pressure expands into that 30–45% zone in the coming days or weeks. If it does, it could mark the beginning of a new bullish wave.

Until then, the current 12% spike might simply represent opportunistic dip-buying — not the spark for the next big Bitcoin breakout.

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Bitcoin Demand Surge Needs More Than Dip Buying

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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