Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout

Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout

CoinotagCoinotag2025/08/01 00:20
By:Jocelyn Blake


  • Bitcoin maintains its 18-day trading range despite a breakdown below $116,000, signaling market indecision.

  • US regulatory policies under the Trump administration have created latency effects, influencing Bitcoin price movements and trader sentiment.

  • Expert analysis highlights increased Bitcoin treasury purchases and ETF inflows as bullish indicators amid short-term price volatility.

Bitcoin remains range-bound with breakout potential; explore key market signals and policy impacts shaping crypto’s near-term outlook.

  • Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects a complex interplay of market liquidity and regulatory influences, with the cryptocurrency trading within a tight range despite volatility.

  • Following the Federal Reserve’s FOMC minutes and Chair Jerome Powell’s statements, Bitcoin experienced a sharp sell-off but quickly rebounded as investors refocused on longer-term fundamentals.

  • COINOTAG sources report that despite short-term price pressures, institutional interest remains strong, supported by increasing treasury purchases and ETF inflows.

Bitcoin’s price remains range-bound amid regulatory and liquidity factors; institutional buying signals potential for breakout. Stay informed with COINOTAG.

Bitcoin Price Compression and Market Liquidity Signal Imminent Range Expansion

Bitcoin’s price compression within the $115,000 to $121,000 range over the past 18 days indicates a market poised for a breakout. Despite a breakdown below $116,000, BTC’s trading range remains intact, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. Analysts from Hyblock Capital describe recent price action as a liquidity hunt, with key metrics such as the bid-ask ratio at 10% orderbook depth turning red, increasing the likelihood of price testing liquidation levels near $115,883.

Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout image 0
BTC/USDT after FOMC minutes. Source: X / Hyblock

Liquidation heat maps from Binance and Bybit show accelerated short liquidations above $120,000 and long liquidation risks below $115,000, underscoring the tight price corridor. Aggregate orderbook data reveals thickening sell walls at $121,100 and strong bids near $111,000, suggesting these levels as critical support and resistance zones.

Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout image 1
BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap. Source: Hyblock
Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout image 2
BTC/USDT 1-hour chart, Binance. Source: TRDR.io

How Are Institutional Treasury Purchases Influencing Bitcoin’s Price Stability?

Institutional treasury buying has surged, with Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards noting that over the past six weeks, more than three companies have purchased Bitcoin daily. His treasury buys-to-sells ratio currently stands at an impressive 100:1 monthly, signaling strong institutional accumulation. This buying behavior provides a bullish foundation amid short-term price fluctuations and supports the potential for a sustained breakout.

Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout image 3
Bitcoin treasury buyers vs. sellers. Source: Charles Edwards / X

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have resumed inflows totaling $641.3 million since July 23, reversing last week’s $285 million outflows. These inflows reflect renewed investor confidence despite recent price volatility, further reinforcing Bitcoin’s underlying demand.

What Role Do US Regulatory Policies Play in Bitcoin’s Market Dynamics?

The Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance, outlined in recent White House reports and speeches by SEC chairman Paul S. Atkins, sets a clear policy framework prioritizing cryptocurrency sector growth. While immediate price impacts are muted, these regulatory signals provide institutional investors with confidence to increase Bitcoin allocations, fostering broader adoption and market stability.

Bitcoin Range Expansion May Favor Downside Despite Signs of Potential Breakout image 4
Bitcoin sells off after FOMC. Source: Cointelegraph Markets / X

Short-term price action may continue to test support levels between $111,000 and $115,000 as sellers absorb long liquidity. Bulls aim for a strong bid at $111,000 to trigger volume spikes and reclaim the $116,000 range. A decisive daily close above $120,000, supported by positive spot and perpetual futures cumulative volume delta (CVD), would confirm a bullish breakout.

Price Level Market Indicator Significance
$115,000 – $121,000 Trading Range Current Bitcoin price consolidation zone
$111,000 Strong Bid Key support level for potential rebound
$120,000 Resistance Critical breakout level for bulls


Frequently Asked Questions

What factors contribute to Bitcoin’s price stability despite recent volatility?

Bitcoin’s price stability is supported by strong institutional buying, ETF inflows, and regulatory clarity, which together create a foundation for sustained market confidence.

Why is Bitcoin expected to break out of its current range soon?

Market indicators such as narrowing Bollinger Bands, liquidity hunts, and orderbook data suggest that Bitcoin is poised for a significant price movement beyond its current range.


Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin remains range-bound: Trading between $115,000 and $121,000 with signs of imminent breakout.
  • Institutional demand is strong: Treasury purchases and ETF inflows support price stability.
  • Regulatory clarity boosts confidence: US policy frameworks encourage broader adoption and investment.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s current trading range reflects a market balancing act influenced by liquidity and regulatory factors.


In Case You Missed It: Ethereum’s Decade of Innovation Sees Renewed Institutional Interest and ETF Momentum in 2025
0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.
Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Trade now!

You may also like

How much CPO demand will Nvidia Rubin Ultra generate? Bernstein: Optical value per Pod will increase fivefold

Bernstein believes that the co-packaged optics (CPO) and fiber demand driven by Nvidia's Rubin Ultra architecture will surge significantly, with the optical content per Pod rising from $1 million to $5.4 million. This will propel the size of Nvidia's optical ecosystem market to $46.8 billion by 2028 (a 91% annual increase). Although the industry faces supply bottlenecks with InP substrates, the outlook remains positive. The institution reiterates its “outperform” rating for Lumentum, Coherent, and Ciena.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 08:47
How much CPO demand will Nvidia Rubin Ultra generate? Bernstein: Optical value per Pod will increase fivefold

UBS Q3 implements a two-way strategy with gold options, heavily invests in technology stocks, and builds positions in SK Hynix (SKHY.US)

UBS Group (UBS.US) has submitted its Q3 holdings report (13F) as of September 30, 2026.

智通财经•2026/11/11 08:22
UBS Q3 implements a two-way strategy with gold options, heavily invests in technology stocks, and builds positions in SK Hynix (SKHY.US)

SpaceX (SPCX.US) reportedly attempts “de-Nvidiaization” at the rack level: developing Kessel cabinets to bypass L6 compute boards, purchasing only chips

SemiAnalysis: SpaceX has developed its own Kessel cabinet, bypassing Nvidia's L6 cards to provide more options for manufacturing its own hardware.

智通财经•2026/11/11 08:20
SpaceX (SPCX.US) reportedly attempts “de-Nvidiaization” at the rack level: developing Kessel cabinets to bypass L6 compute boards, purchasing only chips

$3.7 billion “data center power equipment prepayments” abandoned! What did "the most active buyer of gas turbines", SoftBank, see?

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, SoftBank reported a net loss of $7.1 billion, primarily due to a $3.7 billion impairment charge from a $9.5 billion advance payment for power generation equipment for US data centers—of which about $2.9 billion was non-refundable and effectively lost. The CFO admitted that SoftBank placed orders before the project plan was finalized, and is now conducting a comprehensive review of its procurement strategy. "The most aggressive purchaser of gas turbines has now written off the deposit in this way."

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 08:19